Week X NFL Picks Review - Back On Track?

posted on 2004-11-18 at 00:38:57 by Joel Ross

So I had a decent week picking. Well, unless you ask one unlucky sole who asked me for a lock, and I said whoever plays Arizona. I think he has a different view!

  • Baltimore 20 (-1), New York Jets 17: One of a handful of OT games, and Baltimore comes out on top.
  • Pittsburgh 24 (-4), Cleveland 10: Pittsburgh is the real deal, and I think they're better than New England. I think they are the early pick in the AFC right now.
  • Houston 14, Indianapolis 49 (-9.5): Manning is a machine. This offense is incredible. They (again) won't get to the big game because of defense. Wasn't Dungy supposed to be the answer to that problem? Oh wait - you mean a coach alone can't fix a defense? You need players too?
  • Chicago 19, Tennessee 17 (-5.5): Seriously. Who saw this coming? Is Krenzel is the next Trent Dilfer? Not flashy, but does just enough to get the win? Actually, word out of Chicago is that Krenzel was awful, and has no hope of getting better. Then again, it's been 20 years since the Bears have been any good!
  • Tampa Bay 14, Atlanta 24 (-4): Even week Atlanta. That's enough to warrant a win.
  • Detroit 17, Jacksonville 23 (-3): Another disappointing week for Detroit. The call for Harrington's head is getting louder and louder. Can a McMahon siting be far behind?
  • Seattle 12, St. Louis 23 (PK): At the start of the season, I don't think most would have been surprised that these two would be 1-2 in the NFC West at this point. Arizona and San Fran never were solid competitors. A few would have been surprised that St. Louis was in first, but not shocked. But both of them being 5-4? That's the major surprise. Seattle was supposed to be the favorite in the NFC. What happened?
  • Kansas City 20 (-4), New Orleans 27: So is KC back on track or not? I'm not sure it matters. The best they can do now is 10-6. While that probably will be good enough to make the playoffs, that's asking a 3-6 team to win seven straight. Six of seven is more feasible, but will 9-7 be good enough?
  • Cincinnati 17, Washington 10 (-3): No one listens to me. I saw this one coming. No wait. It was a lucky guess. I get those two things confused.
  • Minnesota 31, Green Bay 34 (-4): I picked this one. Yeah, Minnesota lost, but they covered! And that's all that matters, right?
  • New York Giants 14 (-2.5), Arizona 17: Every one looks at Arizona and assumes they suck. Suddenly though, they are 4-5, and just a couple of spots out of a playoff spot - right now, a 5-4 record is a playoff team in the NFC.
  • Carolina 37, San Francisco 27 (PK): Look on the bright side. The 49ers now has the inside track to the first pick in the draft. Well, actually, Miami is giving them a run, but I'm confident San Francisco can pull this one out.
  • Buffalo 6, New England 29 (-8): New England continues to roll. No letdown seen from the snapping of their long winning streak - a sign that they are on a collision course with Pittsburgh to meet again in the playoffs.
  • Philadelphia 49 (-6), Dallas 21: Another Monday night blowout. So far, 6 of 10 have been won by more than 10 points. What's with the big uproar over the intro? No bad language, no nudity. And isn't the target for the NFL 18-49 year old males? A woman implied to be naked probably appeals to them. I wouldn't know. I'm married, but that's what I hear. ;-) And what's up with Tony Dungy? How was that intro racist? I saw it, and I never even thought race until he brought it up.

Not too bad for the week really. Here's my stats:

This Week Season
Against the spread 9 - 5 (64.3%) 69 - 71 (49.3%)
Head to head 8 - 6 (57.1%) 80 - 64 (55.6%)

I think this is one of the first times that I finished against the spread better than picking winners. Minnesota covered, but didn't win, so that's where that came from. I'll post next week's picks soon.

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