Week Two Picks

posted on 2004-09-16 at 15:06:34 by Joel Ross

The odds are out, so that means it's time to make some picks, along with my legendary* commentary:

  • Denver (-3) vs. Jacksonville: Denver looked too good to me to lose to Jacksonville. Jacksonville has a pretty good defense, but Denver's offense is always good. Jacksonville, with Champ Bailey guarding Jimmy Smith, will have to rely heavily on Fred Taylor in the backfield.
  • Pittsburgh vs. Baltimore (-4): After losing to Cleveland, Baltimore should be hungry. Four points isn'e enough for the Steelers.
  • Houston vs. Detroit (-3): I always like seeing recent expansion teams play each other. What's that? Detroit isn't an expansion team? I thought you had to be to get all those top draft picks. Oh, wait. You just have to suck! And the Lions have, but they play well at home (5-3 last season). Houston really is a recent expansion team, and I think this will be close, but Detroit pulls it out at home.
  • Indianapolis vs. Tennessee (-2.5): Another grudge match for the Colts. These two QBs shared MVP honors, and now they both try to prove who deserved it more. Of course, this will probably come down to a running game, which Indy has, and Tennessee, well, not so much.
  • Chicago vs. Green Bay (-9): Green Bay at home. Against the Bears. Brett Favre looking good. Ahman Green looking even better. A big rivaly. All those add up to a Green Bay win (which I think will happen), but nine points is a lot to cover.
  • Washington (-3) vs. New York Giants: Joe Gibbs is 1-0 in the new century. He'll make it 2-0 this year.
  • San Francisco vs. New Orleans (-7.5): Both of these teams are mediocre at best. This will be closer than the spread, but New Orleans will get the win.
  • St. Louis vs. Atlanta (-2.5): I was surprised to see two things about this game. 1.) Altanta is a favorite, and 2.) at the same time, that Mike Vick is not concidered a sure fire fantasy starter yet. Those contridict each other don't they? I think both statements are wrong. St. Louis should still be the favorite (they'll win), and Mike Vick should have a decent day against a pretty weak Rams defense.
  • Carolina vs. Kansas City (-6): This will be a close game, I think. KC will win, but Carolina will cover.
  • Seattle (-2.5) vs. Tampa Bay: Seattle, with or without Alexander, should have no problem with dispatching a rapidly falling apart Tampa Bay team.
  • Cleveland vs. Dallas (-5): I saw Dallas' defense last week. Not something to be worried too much about, and their offense isn't all that spectacular either. And Cleveland scored 20 on a very solid defense, and help Jamal Lewis (who gained 500 yards against them in two games last year) to under 60. They can move the ball too, with Garcia taking the helm and doing a good job.
  • New England (-8) vs. Arizona: The Patriots winning streak will end at some point, but not against a weak Cardinals team. One bright spot for Arizona? They should have a decent day running the ball. But they won't get within 8 points of New England.
  • Buffalo vs. Oakland (-3.5): This game could go either way, but for whatever reason, I picked Buffalo.
  • New York Jets (-3) vs. San Diego: The Jets should handily defeat the Chargers. They'll put pressure on Brees, meaning a work load for Tomlinson (either running or blocking the blitz or a quick dump off on blitzes). Pennington should pick apart their defense.
  • Miami vs. Cincinnati (-5): Miami has to be thankful for a road game - no hurricanes in Cincy! But it won't help their chances of winning.
  • Minnesota vs. Philadelphia (-3): The premiere match up of the week! Which, since it's on Monday night, it should be right? It's a good thing two team's offenses aren't on the field at the same time. There's not enough room for both Moss' and Owen's egos out there! So who is the best QB - WR combo out there? This should tell us. Neither team is a great defensive team, so look for lots of points. Maybe not a 5 touchdown night for Culpepper or a three touchdown night for Owens, but a highscoring game none the less.

So now you have my picks. Do what you will with them. I didn't do this last week, but I'll try to remember from here on out. My solid, without-a-doubt-you-will-not-lose pick is New England over Arizona. It's a lock. For those wondering, my bet-your-rent-money pick last week was St. Louis over Arizona, and no, I don't make that pick by spread - just by winner. Sense a theme here? Play Arizona, become a lock to win. Wait, that's been a theme for a few years now...

* Legendary as in I did it last week too!

Categories: Football