Almost half way there. Time to crank this picks thing up a notch. Theoretically, it should get easier right? You now have an idea of how teams are playing, so you should be able to pick better. Of course, I've been getting worse as the season goes on, so what do I know? Anyway, here's my picks

• Green Bay (-1.5) vs. Washington: Green Bay seems to be back on track, and Washington is slipping.
• Baltimore vs. Philadelphia (-7.5): The Eagles are the best in the NFC. Baltimore is without Lewis, so they'll have trouble scoring. The unknown factor will be how the Ravens will react to Owens, given the off season history.
• Arizona vs. Buffalo (-3): I'm picking Buffalo, but who knows. Arizona did just beat Seattle, so they have a chance.
• New York Giants vs. Minnesota (-6.5): Only one touchdown last week for Culpepper. Will he break out of his slump? I would expect this to be a good game.
• Cincinnati vs. Tennessee (-3): Maybe I'm riding the Bengals highs and lows too much. I've been there before. But with McNair's injuries this year, I just can't pick Tennessee.
• Indianapolis (-1) vs. Kansas City: This could be a high scoring shootout. Neither defense is good, and after watching Kansas City rush for 8 TDs last week, they seem to be back on track. Indy will be looking to get back on track after a loss to Jacksonville last week.
• Detroit vs. Dallas (-3): I don't know about this one. Detroit on the road has been pretty good - that's weird to write! They are 3-0 on the road this year, after going 0-24 in the past three years. But I think Dallas will pull this one off.
• Jacksonville vs. Houston (-1): The Jags just got done shutting down one of the best offenses in the NFL, and they aren't even favored over Houston? Something's not right here...
• Atlanta vs. Denver (-7): Denver, coming off a tough loss, gets the even weeked Atlanta (3-0). But I don't think that will matter.
• Carolina vs. Seattle (-8): Seattle is an odd team. They were on top of the world, and that world is crashing in on them. I think they'll regain form against Carolina.
• New England (-3) vs. Pittsburgh: New England should stretch it's streak one game longer, but Pittsburgh is a good team, and could present a challenge. But not enough of one.
• Oakland vs. San Diego (-6): San Diego is a pretty good team this year. And Oakland is not. Go Chargers!
• San Francisco vs. Chicago (-1.5): The 49ers and the Bears are both pretty bad teams. Why are they on Sunday night?
• Miami vs. New York Jets (-7): Again, a good match up - in the offseason! But let's be real. Who really things Miami can beat the Jets? Of course, that automatically means they will.

Hopefully my theory will start kicking in!

My rock solid pick of the week last week was wrong for the first time all year! So take it with a grain of salt, but my pick this week is Minnesota over the Giants.