Week XVII NFL Picks

posted on 2004-12-30 at 23:33:15 by Joel Ross

I've been lax lately, so I haven't reviewed weeks 15 or 16 yet. And I don't think I will. I'll just tell you how I did. Week 15, I was 9-6 against the spread and week 16, I was 7-8. Overall, I'm 117-114 (50.7%).

Picking winners, I was 10-6 and 11-5 for weeks 15 and 16, respectively. Overall, I'm 149-91 (62.1%).

Anyway, let's get to week 17's picks. And this time (unlike week 16), I'm going to consider teams sitting players in meaningless games.

  • San Francisco vs. New England (-14): New England will win, but only because the 49ers are horrible. New England already has their bye, so this one won't be terribly exciting.
  • Pittsburgh vs. Buffalo (-8): All scenarios for the Bills require them winning or tying. Pittsburgh, starting Tommy Maddox, has nothing to play for. Therefore, Buffalo should win.
  • Miami vs. Baltimore (-10): Baltimore needs a lot of help to get in. They'll at least get their win, but won't have enough to make the playoffs.
  • Minnesota (-6) vs. Washington:
  • Cincinnati (-3) vs. Philadelphia: Win and you're in. They had that last year against Arizona and lost. That won't happen this year.
  • Green Bay vs. Chicago (-3): Green Bay has nothing to play for. But they'll still win.
  • New Orleans vs. Carolina (-8): This is the game of the week. Carolina will win, but it will be close. And no matter who wins, neither may make the playoffs, depending on how the games play out.
  • Detroit (-3) vs. Tennessee: Completely meaningless game, other than the younger players getting experience.
  • New York Jets vs. St. Louis (-1.5): Jets win, and they are in. St. Louis needs the win, but won't get it.
  • Cleveland vs. Houston (-10.5): No playoff implications. Houston wins, but not be 11.
  • Tampa Bay vs. Arizona (-3): One more meaningless game, but Tampa Bay wins it.
  • Atlanta vs. Seattle (-5.5): Seattle needs the win to clinch a title, and Atlanta has a first round bye, so they won't have much to play for.
  • Indianapolis vs. Denver (-8.5): Denver controls their own destiny, and Indy doesn't want to chance losing a major player to injury, so Denver will win and make the playoffs.
  • Jacksonville vs. Oakland (PK): Jacksonville needs more help to get in than they will get, but they'll at least get their win.
  • Kansas City (-3) vs. San Diego: A meaningless game here. But San Diego will beat the Cheifs.
  • Dallas vs. New York Giants (-3): One more meaningless game. But it is division rivalry, so it could be interesting to watch.

So based on my picks, here's the playoffs as I see them. First, the NFC.

  1. Philadelphia
  2. Atlanta
  3. Green Bay
  4. Seattle
  5. Minnesota
  6. Carolina

Now, the AFC:

  1. Pittsburgh
  2. New England
  3. San Diego
  4. Indianapolis
  5. New York Jets
  6. Denver

We'll see how close I am!

Categories: Football