Week XI NFL Pick Review

posted on 2004-11-26 at 23:38:31 by Joel Ross

As promised, here's my week 11 pick review. Sorry it took so long to get it up here.

  • St. Louis 17 (-1.5) vs. Buffalo: Ouch. How does a team in the playoff hunt (a division win is very important in the West - where losing the division most likely means missing out on the playoffs) lose to Buffalo? Of course, now Buffalo has won three of the last four games, losing only to New England.
  • Dallas 10, Baltimore 30 (-8): People are starting to see that the Parcells experiment isn't quite working out as expected. But hey, when your quarterback is almost as old as your coach, what do you expect. How long before Henson will be yet another U of M quarterback that breaks into a starting job in the NFL?
  • New York Jets 10, Cleveland 7 (PK): Apparently the oddsmakers were right. This was a close game. And I was right, because the Jets came out on top.
  • Pittsburgh 19 (-4), Cincinnati 14: The Steelers keep on rolling.
  • Indianapolis 41 (-7.5), Chicago 10: I listen to a few talk shows out of Chicago, and they actually thought they had a chance against Indy. At least when Detroit played Indy, the talk shows had no false hopes - it was just a matter of how many touchdowns would Manning get (6!).
  • Detroit 19, Minnesota 22 (-7.5): Minnesota better get their game back in order. Having Moss back should help next week, but barely beating Detroit is not getting back on track.
  • Arizona 10, Carolina 35 (-3): In the weekly "doesn't matter" game, the AFC's best team last year beat the NFC's worst. Wow.
  • Tennessee 18, Jacksonville 15 (-3): With McNair back, and Leftwich hurting, this wasn't surprising.
  • San Francisco 3, Tampa Bay 35 (-8): This was. Tampa Bay can be very good, and then very bad. San Fran only has one gear - very bad. I understand that, but getting whooped by 32 points? Come on. They're starting to look like Detroit of the past three years.
  • Denver 34 (-4), New Orleans 13: Denver is tied for first place with San Diego, and kept pace. New Orleans gained one on becoming the worst team in the NFC. They have stiff competition there, mainly from the Niners.
  • Miami 17, Seattle 24 (-10): Does this count? Beating Miami isn't impressive, especially when it's only by a touchdown.
  • San Diego 23 (-4), Oakland 17: Everyone said San Diego always struggled against the Raiders, but apparently they are either over that, or lucky. Either way, they won.
  • Atlanta 14 (-2.5), New York Giants 10: Altanta continues to roll, and the Giants skid to .500.
  • Washington 6, Philadelphia 28 (-10.5): Wow. Philly shows again why they are the best team in the NFC.
  • Green Bay 16 (-3), Houston 13: Barely beating Houston? I guess a win is a win, in the NFL. But not for me - this one won't count. It's an exact cover.
  • New England 27 (-3), Kansas City 19: This was a better game than I expected. It came down to a last minute drive if I remember correctly, so that's about as close as you can get without overtime.

So how did I do? Let's see

This Week Season
Against the spread 9 - 5 (64.3%) 78 - 77 (50.3%)
Head to Head 13 - 3 (81.3%) 93 - 67 (57.4%)

Back above .500! Let's hope I can stay that way.

Categories: Football