Week Six NFL Pick Review

posted on 2004-10-19 at 00:55:11 by Joel Ross

So here's my week six review. It's late, and I have to be up early tomorrow morning. Brevity is key here!

  • Miami13, Buffalo 20 (-6.5): One stinkin' point. Actually, only half a point, but you can't get a half point in the NFL. If Buffalo misses an extra point, or Miami went for two and got it, I'm right. At least I picked the game right.
  • San Francisco 14, New York Jets 22 (-10): More proof of my 10 point spread theory. This one looked like the Jets might lose it altogether!
  • Seattle 20, New England 30 (-4): New England continues to roll. They could roll for a while. Seattle was supposed to be the real deal, and have now lost two in a row. Not a good omen.
  • Carolina 8, Philadelphia 30 (-9): Philly continues to roll, and Carolina continues to fall. I think an Eagles vs. Minnesota NFC Conference Final is the most likely outcome at this point.
  • Cincinnati 17, Cleveland 34 (-3): Watching this game was an option here, but I didn't take it. Nothing about this excited me, and I couldn't even bring myself to watch it. I picked Cincinnati, and that was obviously not the right choice.
  • Green Bay 38, Detroit 10 (-2): I watched most of this one, though. Detroit looked pathetic, and Green Bay looked much better than they did the last two weeks. I guess my homerism bit me, didn't it? That's why they say never to bet on teams you have an interest in I guess.
  • Washington 13 (-1.5), Chicago 10: These two teams are pretty much out of contention, which means they bore me! Seriously, I'm just glad I picked it right.
  • Houston 20, Tennessee 10 (-7): Houston is turning out a decent performance this year. Beating Tennessee and Kansas City should be big for them.
  • San Diego 20, Atlanta 21 (-6): Atlanta is so up and down that I think they don't really stand a chance to go anywhere this year unless they get some consistency.
  • Kansas City (-2) 16, Jacksonville 22: Kansas City is done this year. That has to be painful for them - playoff team to a team that everyone in the league exploits.
  • Pittsburgh 24, Dallas (-3) 20: Like I said, I'm on the Pittsburgh bandwagon. Plaxico Burress had a pretty good game - that matters to me, since I watched him play while we were both at Michigan State.
  • Denver (-2) 31, Oakland 3: Just plug anyone into the Denver running game, and get 100 yards. It sure looks that way right now. Detroit let Droughns go in 2001. Right now, he has (in two weeks) more rushing yards than Detroit does in 5 games. Ouch.
  • Minnesota 38 (-3.5), New Orleans 31: I still think their lack of defense will be their downfall, but if Culpepper continues putting up 5 TDs per game, that's going to be tough team to beat. They already are. I can't wait for the Indy vs. Vikings game in November - that could easily hit a triple digit total. This was my lock solid money pick, which means I have been right picking the lock every week so far.
  • Tampa Bay 21, St. Louis (-6.5) 28: I didn't watch much of this, other than the Tampa Bay fumble late in the game that basically ended it. I don't think I'd want to be at Gruden's practice tomorrow if I fumbled like that. Combine that with the season, and that could be very uncomfortable.

I had a good week, recovering nicely from a three week slump.

 This WeekSeason
Against The Spread9 - 5 (64.3%)45 - 40 (52.9%)
Head to Head10 - 4 (71.4%)52 - 36 (59.1%)

I'll be back next week, starting all over.

Man, I need to get the NFLPicks project working, and build an export of the results into HTML for me. That would simplify this process a lot.

Categories: Football