RossCode Picks - NFL Week X Review

posted on 11/17/05 at 12:26:48 am by Joel Ross

Ok. I'm late again, but I had a good week, so instead of writing this up,?I celebrated yesterday! Seriously, I just plain forgot - too much real work to do!

  • Arizona 21, Detroit 29 (-3.5) (39.5 O/U) [P: $5.43, S: $10.00, O/U: ($10.00), T: $5.43]: Joey Harrington looked like the guy everyone wanted him to be when he was drafted. Now, he's had this kind of performance before, and it's never lasted. Remember, it was only Arizona. As for Arizona, I like their future, with both Boldin and Fitzgerald, but they only needed to look across the field to see a team with great receivers who still aren't that good!
  • Baltimore 3, Jacksonville 30 (-6.5) (33 O/U) [P: $3.70, S: $10.00, O/U: $0.00, T: $13.70]: Wow. The Ravens have fallen fast and hard. When will Jamal Lewis finally be benched? Or is the coaching staff chalking his poor play up to the lack of a passing game? Maybe that's it, but regardless, wouldn't you at least want to give Chester Taylor a test run? He's supposed to be pretty good.
  • Houston* 17, Indianapolis 31 (-17.5) (44.5 O/U) [P: $0.50, S: $10.00, O/U: $9.43, T: $19.93]: Here's?a game I would never have bet on. Why? Well, to pick the winner straight up, it was pretty obvious who was going to win, but by picking Indy, you only win .05 per dollar. Not really worth it. The spread was huge and hard to judge, and the over/under is always unpredictable. Having said that, had I bet on each of those three this week, I would have been right!
  • Kansas City 3, Buffalo 14 (-2.5) (41.5 O/U) [P: ($10.00), S: ($10.00), O/U: ($10.00), T: ($30.00)]: I'm not sure anyone saw this coming. Larry Johnson actually had a pretty good game, even though he didn't score. The only stat that jumps out as a reason for K.C. to lose is that Green threw three picks. That really hurts an offensive momentum!
  • Minnesota* 24, New York Giants 21 (-9.5) (45 O/U) [P: ($10.00), S: $10.00, O/U: $0.00, T: $0.00]: A chink in the armor for Eli Manning. It figures - I just traded for him this week! This is the first game with three different types of "special teams" TDs - a pick returned for a TD, a punt returned for a TD, and a kickoff returned for a TD. I guess you don't need a great offense when you can score other ways.
  • New England 23 (-2.5), Miami 16 (41 O/U) [P: $6.85, S: $10.00, O/U: ($10.00), T: $6.85]: New England gets back on track, albeit against Miami.
  • San Francisco* 9, Chicago 17 (-13) (32 O/U) [P: $1.22, S: $10.00, O/U: $9.52, T: $20.75]: I told you 13 was too many. Especially when the you pick the under at 32 points! I even said that if the 49ers just scored a few points, covering would be virtually impossible for Chicago, who was without (as it turns out) both of their top two running backs.
  • Washington 35, Tampa Bay 36 (0) (33 O/U) [P: $9.09, S: $10.00, O/U: $9.52, T: $28.61]: You have to love the gutsy calls in the past two weeks when teams have had a chance to take the easy way out and go into OT, but decide to go for it and get the win. I'm predicting the boldness of these two teams (K.C. last week) will embolden coaches for the rest of the season - that is, until one doesn't work out.
  • Denver 31 (-3), Oakland 17 (47 O/U) [P: $6.94, S: $10.00, O/U: ($10.00), T: $6.94]: A solid rushing attack for the Broncos doomed the Raiders, who all but abandoned the running game. Collins passed the ball 50 times. When will teams learn that the Philly offense isn't working?
  • New York Jets 3, Carolina 30 (-9.5) (41 O/U) [P: $2.64, S: $10.00, O/U: ($10.00), T: $2.64]: Ok. The Jets are just bad this year. Yeah, injuries have hurt them, and because of that, they just can't do anything on offense, which is why I traded Curtis Martin straight up for Eli Manning (that, and my two drafted quarterbacks were Griese and Culpepper).
  • Green Bay* 33, Atlanta 25 (-9.5) (41.5 O/U) [P: ($10.00), S: $10.00, O/U: $9.90, T: $9.90]: Who would have predicted this? Green Bay played it's 53rd string running back and he puts up 100 yards. Nice. And despite losing, Vick had a very quarterback-like game. But yet, he still lost.
  • St. Louis 16, Seattle 31 (-6.5) (51 O/U) [P: $3.85, S: $10.00, O/U: ($10.00), T: $3.85]: When will teams start game-planning for Alexander? Make the Seahawks beat you through the airand eliminate the ground game. Someone better. This guy's on fire.
  • Cleveland 21, Pittsburgh 34 (-8) (35 O/U) [P: $3.00, S: $10.00, O/U: $9.52, T: $22.53]: So, yeah, having Roethlisberger out isn't fun, but they have good backups. Not great, but good enough to know what they can do, and do only that. Of course, it was Cleveland, but still, a win is a win.
  • Dallas 21, Philadelphia 20 (-3) (39.5 O/U) [P: ($10.00), S: ($10.00), O/U: $10.10, T: ($9.90)]: Despite having success running the ball, the Eagles insisted on passing late in the game despite only needing to grind out the clock. Result: Well, I think you know. Roy Williams returns a pick to the end zone, and Dallas is on the winning side of a late game comeback this time, unlike their loss to Santana Moss in week 2.

Results Summary

  • Picks (this week): 10 - 4 (71.43%) - Winnings: $3.23: I could get my daily supply of M.D. with this! This just shows that just because you can pick a lot of games right, the money lines are very important. 5 of the 10 games that I picked right resulted in a return of less than $5.00.
  • Picks (season): 88 - 56 (61.11%) - Winnings: ($83.62): I'm slowly chipping away.
  • Spread (this week): 12 - 2 (85.71%) - Winnings: $100.00: A huge week here. I actually was right on more spread picks than straight picks. That's surprising actually, but I'll take it.
  • Spread (season): 66 - 75 (46.81%) - Winnings: ($90.00): I did a little more than chip away this week. One more week like this, and I'll be in the black!
  • Over/Under (this week): 6 - 6 (50.00%) - Winnings: ($1.99): Barely down on this, despite being only .500. See? The line is very important. All six that I picked right returned more than .95 on a dollar, and one returned more than I would have put in.
  • Over/Under (season): 66 - 74 (47.14%) - Winnings: ($114.18): Still down larg here - and getting larger.
  • Total Weekly Winnings: $101.24: Great week...
  • Total Overall Winnings: ($287.80): ...until you look and see that I'm still down huge overall.

More picks tomorrow!

Categories: Football