Another poor week for me. There's lots of negative numbers below. This season has been horrible for me! But at least the games have been good. I think I'm still picking based on last season's results. Green Bay, Detroit, and Arizona are decent teams, but Baltimore, Denver, Kansas City and Chicago aren't. Odd. It doesn't usually take me 10 weeks to adapt, but for some reason, this year has been harder.

FYI, at this point, by betting on the result, the spread and the over/under, I'd have placed $4,320 in bets. Based on my performance, I'd only have $3,985.30 of that back. By putting it into an index fund, I'd be sitting at $4,011.01, a difference of $25.71. It would actually be more, but I've taken into account a $10 per transaction fee. Of course, bookies don't charge transaction fees, so by investing in the fund, you're automatically down $10 a week.

My "Lock Solid" picks went 3-1 this week, after Indy couldn't quite pull off the comeback against the Chargers. As such, I ended up losing $2.23. For the season, I'm 28-12, which is pretty good, but I'm now down $24.41 for the year.

• Atlanta 20, Carolina 13 (-4) (36 O/U) [P: ($10.00), S: ($10.00), O/U: $9.09, T: ($10.91)]: Here's something I hadn't considered. Is Joey Harrington better than Mike Vick at quarterback? His completion percentage is over 10% higher, and while he can't run as well, that's not supposed to be the job of the quarterback, is it? Now, how do you explain that they're a worse team this year than last?
• Philadelphia 33, Washington 25 (-2.5) (38 O/U) [P: ($10.00), S: ($10.00), O/U: $9.09, T: ($10.91)]
• Minnesota 0, Green Bay 34 (-6) (40.5 O/U) [P: $3.85, S: $10.00, O/U: ($10.00), T: $3.85]
• Cleveland* 28, Pittsburgh 31 (-10.5) (47.5 O/U) [P: $2.11, S: $10.00, O/U: ($10.00), T: $2.11]
• Denver 27, Kansas City 11 (-3) (37.5 O/U) [P: ($10.00), S: ($10.00), O/U: $9.09, T: ($10.91)]
• Buffalo 13 (-3), Miami 10 (41 O/U) [P: $6.90, S: $0.00, O/U: $9.09, T: $15.99]
• Jacksonville 28, Tennessee 13 (-4) (35 O/U) [P: ($10.00), S: ($10.00), O/U: $9.09, T: ($10.91)]
• St. Louis* 37, New Orleans 29 (-13.5) (46 O/U) [P: ($10.00), S: $10.00, O/U: ($10.00), T: ($10.00)]
• Cincinnati 21, Baltimore 7 (-4) (44.5 O/U) [P: $18.50, S: $10.00, O/U: $9.09, T: $37.59]
• Dallas 31 (-1.5), New York Giants 20 (48.5 O/U) [P: ($10.00), S: ($10.00), O/U: ($10.00), T: ($30.00)]
• Chicago 17 (-3.5), Oakland 6 (38.5 O/U) [P: $5.00, S: $10.00, O/U: $9.09, T: $24.09]
• Detroit 21, Arizona 31 (0) (44.5 O/U) [P: ($10.00), S: ($10.00), O/U: ($10.00), T: ($30.00)]
• Indianapolis 21 (-3.5), San Diego 23 (44.5 O/U) [P: ($10.00), S: ($10.00), O/U: ($10.00), T: ($30.00)]: So Indy is now on a two game skid. When was the last time that happened? Oh yeah, when the lost three in a row to finish 2005, then got bounced from the playoffs shortly afterwards. Hopefully for them, this early season "slump" will correct itself before the playoffs hit. On the other side, San Diego started off pretty rough, but a win like this, that should help their confidence quite a bit.
• San Francisco 0, Seattle 24 (-11) (39.5 O/U) [P: $1.82, S: $10.00, O/U: ($10.00), T: $1.82]

Results Summary

• Picks (this week): 6 - 8 (42.86%) - Winnings: ($41.83)
• Picks (season): 87 - 57 (60.42%) - Winnings: ($132.88)
• Spread (this week): 6 - 7 (46.15%) - Winnings: ($10.00)
• Spread (season): 62 - 72 (46.27%) - Winnings: ($100.00)
• Over/Under (this week): 7 - 7 (50.00%) - Winnings: ($6.36)
• Over/Under (season): 68 - 72 (48.57%) - Winnings: ($101.82)
• Total Weekly Winnings: ($58.20)
• Total Overall Winnings: ($334.70)

Check back later for next week's picks.

Tags: NFL | Picks | Odds